Showing posts with label Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index. Show all posts

Friday, June 5, 2009

The only fundamentals improving are commodities

Jim Rogers makes an real life appearance on CNBC and talks to the masses of finance news junkies in the United States.

CNBC's website is bombarding readers with articles about this Jimmy Rogers interview. If you follow this site, or if you happen to keep your eyes and ears open for Jimmy Rogers in your daily information news sessions, you know he really is not saying anything he hasn't said before.












Basic conclusion – when the reality of printing so much cash catches up with the major economies of the world, people are going to realize their stock gains are in worthless, debased currencies. When this happens, hard assets and the companies producing them will flourish. Demand for copper and steel are not going to disappear, but is just may greatly diminish for U.S. Bonds and Dollar assets if hyper inflation hits.

Get the picture?


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Monday, June 1, 2009

Jim Rogers: Profit from commodities, currencies and bonds in times of crisis



Can't seem to find part 2. Rogers covers his general view of where markets currently are and where he's putting his money right now.


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Wednesday, April 22, 2009

Investors hopeful for a recovery in Natural Gas

A year ago people there was hysteria because of sky rocketing energy and commodity prices. In this analysis I focus on Natural Gas, which last summer reached a record setting high of $13.69 a million British Thermal units.

Things have changed (as you can see in the graphs below. The global economy now finds it self in the middle of a world wide economic crisis. Expensive commodities are the least of the world's problems right now.

Natural Gas Prices - 3 months


Natural Gas Prices - 12 months


So does this present a investment opportunity?

It definitely does, albeit one with a fair amount of risk... Commodity prices not withstanding, the fact remains that without commodities there would be nothing to fuel the global economy. Eventually when macroeconomic demand for goods and services pick up around the world so too will demand for energy.

However, how do you go about picking the companies that stand to benefit from a potential rebound?

Choose:

1. Companies with low debt and viable growth plans. Try do your homework so that the companies you choose fit your time line and expectations on when natural gas prices will recover. You don't want to choose a company exploring for the largest deposit of natural gas in Brazil only to find out it won't be extracting and selling the gas until 2015.

2. Look for natural gas producers with operations in NORTH America. As this Dow Jones Newswire article articulates, "Domestic gas producers that learned how to tap natural gas trapped in rock formations known as shales and that have enough credit or cash to survive the current lower price environment are expected to benefit the most from the possible in surge prices."

Thursday, August 21, 2008

Jim Rogers says commodities will rebound after drop (update 1 from Bloomberg)

Bloomberg's journalists have been speaking with good old commodity guru's Jimmy Rogers and Marc Faber about commodities.

``I don't see that it's the end of the bull market,'' the chairman of Rogers Holdings, said in an interview in Bangkok before speaking at an investor conference later today. ``Until either a lot of supply comes on stream or the economy collapses, the bull market will continue,'' he said.

Soybeans, copper, platinum and crude oil have dropped from all-time highs after a rally in the dollar curbed demand for raw materials as a hedge against inflation and concerns increased that economic growth will slow. Sixteen of the 19 commodities in the Reuters/Jefferies CRB Index fell this month, after the index plunged 10 percent in July, the biggest such drop in 28 years.

``I am contemplating whether it's time to get involved in base metals again,'' Rogers, 65, said today. ``I haven't bought any for awhile.''

Gold fell to the lowest since October on Aug. 15, while platinum had the biggest intraday loss since 2001. Aluminum has dropped 18 percent from a record on July 11 and Nickel is down 26 percent in the past year.

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Click here
to access the full article from Bloomberg

Friday, August 8, 2008

Copper, Oil Lead Decline as Global Growth Slows reports Bloomberg LP

Aug. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Copper and crude oil led a decline in commodities on concern that slower global economic growth will curb demand for raw materials.

Copper headed for its biggest weekly drop since March, crude oil fell to the lowest compared with closing prices since May and silver reached its cheapest since January. Italy's second-quarter gross domestic product unexpectedly shrank, the statistics office in Rome said today. Japan's economy probably contracted in the three months ended June, according to the median estimate of 25 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

``People understand that we might face a difficult two or three quarters ahead of us,'' said Christoph Eibl, who helps manage more than $1 billion of commodities at Tiberius Asset Management AG in Zug, Switzerland. ``Industrial-related commodities will not outperform.''

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Click here to access the full story from Bloomberg LP