Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label economics. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Help wanted! Young US-American professionals head to Beijing and Shanghai

I thought it was very appropriate and a nice coincidence that upon returning from my business trip to China & Singapore, I turn on my blackberry and am flashed with this NYT article: American Graduates Finding Jobs in China.

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BEIJING — Shanghai and Beijing are becoming new lands of opportunity for recent American college graduates who face unemployment nearing double digits at home.

“I’ve seen a surge of young people coming to work in China over the last few years,” said Jack Perkowski, founder of Asimco Technologies, one of the largest automotive parts companies in China.


“When I came over to China in 1994, that was the first wave of Americans coming to China,” he said. “These young people are part of this big second wave.

[Source: NYT - American Graduates Finding Jobs in China]

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Let's be honest. China has not escaped the shocks of the global economic recession. There are empty office and commercial buildings around Beijing’s Central Business District. Rents are sky rocketing and apartments are remaining unsold and unoccupied. Factories are closing in Southern China. Political turmoil has touched regions where minorities are great in number. And… so on.

Nonetheless, after living and working in the country at the beginning of the crisis (Sept - Dec 08), and returning to do business this past month—the fact remains there is one thing you can find in China that is missing from my colleagues and friends here in the North-Eastern United States, down in Lima, Peru and Belo Horizonte, Brazil and across the pond in the UK and France.

“A positive outlook on the future.”

Walk the streets of Beijing and the city is full of people just as the NYT article above describes; motivated and adventurous young entrepreneurs and professionals from all walks of life that have come to China to build their respective futures.

Likewise, a considerable portion of China’s younger generations remain confident and positive about their futures. In a country of 1.4 billion people (probably more) you will hardly ever find a general consensus. What applies in Beijing, will not apply in western China in the city of Xinjiang. This does not change the fact, that the life styles and future aspirations of China’s youth are considerably different than those of their parents and grandparents.

The Chinese are not ignorant; they know things are probably worse than their government lets on. At the same time, critics in the west are too quick to point fingers and predict imminent economic collapse. Sometimes it is a bursting real estate bubble, an over-valued stock market due for a correction, plunging exports, or decreasing import demand. Critics will always find a way to well… criticize.

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Saturday, May 2, 2009

India suffers worst in Asian export decline -- FT Asia

India, Indonesia and South Korea reported significant year-on-year declines in exports on Friday.

However, a growing gap in trade performance was underlined by India’s latest figures, with exports tumbling 33 per cent in March to $11.5bn (€8.7bn, £7.7bn) from a year earlier – the biggest drop on record.

India’s exports to the US have fallen more sharply than those of China, South Korea and Brazil, according to a study by the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry (FICCI).

Gems, pharmaceuticals, textiles, vehicles and auto parts were all hit in an overall 12 per cent drop in US exports between October and February.

“The sharp decline in our exports to the US, which accounts for 13 per cent of our global exports, is a matter of deep concern,” said Harsh Pati Singhania, the president of FICCI.

Click here to access this FT Asia article

BoJ revises down growth forecast -- FT Asia

The Bank of Japan expects growth to contract by a significantly greater margin than it forecast just two months ago as the world’s second largest economy continues to suffer from a collapse in demand.
“Economic conditions in Japan have deteriorated significantly,” the BoJ said in a statement on Thursday as it lowered its forecast for the economy to a 3.1 per cent contraction in the year to next March, rather than a previously expected 2 per cent decline in growth.

Click here to access this FT Asia article

Friday, May 1, 2009

The IncaKolaNews Weekly -- Mining, LatAm, Stocks and more

Back in May 2008, soon after I made my decision to participate the world of internet blogging, social networking, independent analysis/journalism and information exchange I stumbled upon a incredible site by the name of IncaKolaNews. It is run by a humble, well informed, intelligent guy who goes by the name of Otto.

He's down on the ground in Peru, and by "down on the ground" I don't mean living in a nice Miraflores apartment facing the Pacific Ocean in the capital Lima.

Otto is the real deal and offers a very insightful view into the real world of South American politics, mining and finance.

Check out his site @ http://incakolanews.blogspot.com

Here are some highlights as to what the INK Weekly will offer subscribers. I have copy and pasted this information from this page where you can click to read a more in depth summary.

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* Fundamental analysis of mining stocks. The weekly will include at least two NOBS reports per month (perhaps more), a format that has proved very popular with site regulars. These reports are likely to cover mostly junior miners but may include other regions than LatAm or different industrial sectors if good opportunity arises. The NOBS reports will likely aim at highlighting buying opportunities, but may also cover updates or even hold/sell calls if a company catches my eye. The reports will also eventually cover the 'Stocks to Follow' portfolio.

* Stocks to follow. I plan on developing a short list (likely not more than ten stocks at any given moment) of companies that I believe will offer strong profit-making opportunities. Once again, Latin American exposed stocks will be favoured but other regions will not be excluded for simple geographical reasons. The performance will be tracked using a model portfolio. Additionally, as 'selling well' is equally as important as a successful buy call, the IKN Weekly will not hesitate in giving 'take profit' or 'stop loss' signals. Regular readers of the blog will know how I normally call my trades on site and the principle will be the same.

* Regional Politics, but not any old gossip. Regional political or economic developments that offer the investor a potentially profitable knowledge advantage are the matters that will interest us in The IKN Weekly. What Hugo said to Evo about Barack will not interest us. The type of political development in Ecuador that allowed this blog to call Dynasty (DMM.to) a buy just days before the beginning of its 300% upmove in December will most definitely interest The IKN Weekly.

* Market Watching, providing impressions, thoughts, opinions on whatever happens in the sector during the week and how you as an investor might benefit going forward. This would really be a catch-all category covering many aspects of the junior mining investment world, but a topical example would be as in yesterday morning's blog content mentioning International Royalty Corp. (IRC.to) (ROY). I wrote that IRC.to would be a good way to play the positive news from Barrick about Pascua Lama. It subsequently rose 13% from C$2.63 to C$2.97, with the final push made when IRC.to published its news release promoting the Pascua Lama link late Thursday.

Click here to read more about the INK Weekly or to sign up now!

Thursday, April 30, 2009

Happy May Day Asia!

A look at some news hitting the presses as those of us in the America's bring our day to a close.


Taiwan’s Warmer China Ties May Speed Recovery From Record Slump

Taiwan’s closer ties with China may help its economy recover more quickly from a record slump, boosting confidence, investment and its ability to benefit from growth in the mainland...

“Taiwan is well-positioned to benefit from the improving cross-strait ties, especially with China expected to come back robustly from this economic crisis,” said Prakash Sakpal, an economist at ING Bank NV in Singapore. “Demand from China will be a good buffer.”

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China Banks Surge to World’s Biggest May Be Too Good to Be True

Just when the world is beginning to appreciate China’s biggest banks, unencumbered by Wall Street assets of no discernible value and fortified by record first- quarter lending, some analysts say it’s too good to be true.

While Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., China Construction Bank Corp. and Bank of China Ltd., three of the world’s four largest banks by market value, led an increase in lending focused on investments in railways, roads and ports, similar state-directed loans caused bad debts to snowball in the 1990s. The resulting rescue cost $650 billion and took 10 years.

“We suspect some of the banks may have compromised their risk-management and risk-aversion attitude to meet targets and government expectations,” said Wen Chunling, a Beijing-based analyst at Fitch Ratings. “That will lead to a rebound in non- performing loans in the next few years.”

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Asia Seeks Reserve Pool Completion Amid Growth Recovery Signs

Southeast Asian finance ministers and their counterparts from Japan, China and South Korea may complete discussions on a currency pool agreement this weekend amid signs the worst of the region’s economic crisis may be over.

Officials from 13 countries are gathering in Bali on May 3 to finalize each nation’s contribution to the $120 billion pool of foreign-exchange reserves that can be used to defend their currencies in times of financial turmoil. They will meet at the sidelines of the Asian Development Bank’s annual meeting on the Indonesian resort island.

“As recent as a few months ago, there were expectations that at least one country will need to tap the reserve pool for funds before this crisis is over,” said Vishnu Varathan, a regional economist at Forecast Singapore Pte. “With signs that the slowdown is easing and of stability in the financial arena, that seems unlikely now.”

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Australia - Swan warns revenue write-off may be one of biggest

AUSTRALIA will register a revenue write-down in the Federal Budget of more than $115 billion due to the global financial crisis, Treasurer Wayne Swan says.

"Certainly, there's been a revenue write-down because of the global recession between the last Budget and February of about $115 billion,'' Mr Swan told reporters in Sydney.

Because of slowing growth, the global recession had become worse and there would be further revenue write-downs in next month's Budget, he said.

Sunday, June 15, 2008

Bloomberg LP - Mining giant Rio says rising commodity prices won't be enough to convince China to stop buying... high prices are here to stay

Rio Says China Inflation Won't Undermine Commodities (Update1)

By Jesse Riseborough

June 16 (Bloomberg) -- Rio Tinto Group, the world's third- largest mining company, said recent gains in inflation in China driven by rising food and energy costs won't undermine strong demand for commodities.

``A leveling out in food and energy prices will lead to falling 'headline' inflation without a dramatic impact on economic growth,'' Tom Albanese, chief executive officer of London-based Rio, said in a slides presentation sent today to the Australian stock exchange. ``Any sustained inflation is likely to support aluminum and iron ore prices.''

Inflation in China, the world's fastest growing economy and biggest consumer of commodities, slowed to 7.7 percent in May, from 8.5 percent in April, still exceeding the government's annual target of 4.8 percent, according to the statistics bureau. Demand from China has spurred six straight years of commodity gains, including record prices for iron ore and copper.

Prices for Rio's products ``are supported by economic fundamentals, not financial bubbles,'' Albanese said, citing dwindling supplies of metals including copper. ``Current prices of key Rio Tinto products are justified by the economic fundamentals of sustained demand growth and tight supply; together these factors will support long-run prices.''

Rio, battling a $164 billion takeover offer from the world's largest mining company BHP Billiton Ltd., rose A$4.62, or 3.6 percent, to A$134.50 on June 13 on the Australian exchange.

To contact the reporters on this story: Jesse Riseborough in Melbourne at jriseborough@bloomberg.net;

Last Updated: June 15, 2008 19:39 EDT