Japan; a look at the growth strategy of the world's 2nd largest economy

Sep 17 (Reuters) - Japan's new government is crawling out of the worst post-War recession ever, but its ability to spend is growing more limited.

Chinese Economy in Focus -- China may cut rates again to ensure "gentle slowdown" doesn't turn ugly

On the ground, things don't seem so bad in China. As I report from Suzhou, China I see construction booming on both a residential level on in terms of infrastructure. However as Bloomberg LP paints in a article you can view here, things aren't so pretty on a macro level.

Actually they may depend on what you think "pretty" is. Economic growth will slow this year. 3rd Quarter growth in 2008 when released is expected to come in at around 9%, down from 2007's astounding 11.9%. Considering the state of the global economy many argue 9% is still quite healthy. However for a country seeking to fast track its economic development and solidify its position in the global economy the slowing growth rate is not welcome news.

The government is acting quick to stem the problem, having already reduced interest rates three times in the past two months. Will it be enough? Probably not...

For one, the reckless speculation from abroad and domestically on Chinese equities has fully exploded in investors faces this year (including my own). The CSI 300 is down a whopping 69% in 2008 so far, and has not seen the rallies other Asian markets like Hong Kong, Korea and Japan have seen when the west introduced their respective bailouts, lowered interest rates and set up new lending facilities.

Chinese Media, Xinhua reports export orders dropped in the 3rd quarter to their lowest level since 2005. Home sales have plunged 59% in Beijing and 39% in Shanghai so far in 2008.

All this looks bleak, but a casual observer may add that between 2005 and 2008, both Beijing and Shanghai have continued to grow rapidly. Few can deny the changes which have manifested in each city in the past 3 years, not to mention the rapid change which occurred between 2000-2005.

My observations are simple. China was indeed growing too fast for its own good, this financial crisis is simply bringing it back down to reality. China will continue to grow but due to the nature of its export oriented economy it must do so within the context of the world economy. All the while it does have the capacity to cushion its own slowdown with its domestic economy and macro policies which will help spur growth in the domestic market.

Check out this Bloomberg article to get a full picture.

News Line: Is Singapore venerable to a "wall-street like crisis?" & Asian Stocks extend gains in Monday Trading

1) Finance minister Tharman says Singapore's financial institutions stable

SINGAPORE: Singapore’s financial institutions are well capitalised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS), says Finance Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam.

He was speaking to reporters on Sunday at a community event where he joined Muslims to break fast.

Mr Tharman said: "We are glad that overall, if you look at what is happening in Singapore compared to other financial centres, confidence in the market has been retained."

But Mr Tharman said a technical recession — defined by two consecutive quarters of economic contraction — is possible in Singapore.

Nonetheless, he cautioned that it is important for Singapore not to have any knee—jerk reactions, and to continue to monitor the global financial situation closely before announcing any plans.

Singapore’s non—oil domestic exports in August fell 13.8 per cent from the same month in 2007, the largest drop in the last year.

And with the current financial crisis, economists expect this figure to fall even further as global demand slows...

Click here to access the full article from Yahoo Finance - Singapore (News Asia)

2) Asia's stocks extend gains on proposed US bailout

HONG KONG (AP) -- Asian markets rose Monday after the U.S. government proposed a US$700 billion plan to solve the world financial crisis by rescuing banks from billions of dollars in risky mortgage debt.

In Japan, the Nikkei 225 index climbed 1.4 percent to close at 12,090.59 points , while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 1.2 percent.

In China, the Shanghai Composite Index soared 7.8 percent on hopes of a turnaround after government steps to stabilize the country's beaten down shares.

Markets in Australia and Taiwan advanced strongly after regulators in both countries issued curbs on short selling, following similar moves in the U.S, Britain and other countries. The practice, which bets on a stock's decline, has been partly blamed for driving down share prices.

Global markets had rallied Friday on news Washington was likely to announce a bailout plan, calming investors worried that losses from bad bets on mortgages could bring about the collapse of more companies, straining an already weakened financial system and global economy...

Click here to access the full article from Yahoo Finance - Singapore (AP)

News Line: Asian Financials -- China's Shanghai Benchmark soars 9.5%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng up 6.5%, Japan's Nikki up 3.5%

HONG KONG (AP) -- Asian stock markets soared Friday after a punishing week as news of a possible U.S. government plan to rescue banks from toxic mortgage debt brought hope of a letup in the world's worst financial crisis in decades.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index jumped 7 percent at the open and was up 6.5 percent at the midday break at 18,779.03. Japan's Nikkei 225 average was up 3.8 percent at 11,920.86.

In China, the Shanghai benchmark surged a stunning 9.5 percent after the government eliminated a tax on share purchases and said it was buying shares in state-owned banks. Stock measures in Taiwan, South Korea and Australia were also sharply higher.

Click here to access the full article by Jeremiah Marquez, AP Business Writer @ yahoo.com/finance

Asian Financial Markets in Focus -- Mainland China, Thailand, Singapore finish in the green while the rest of Asia falls on increased petrol prices

Apologies but today I am updating this site using predominantly the news which grabbed my attention this evening, and which I would have ordinarily included in a typical analysis with. Sadly I was stuck in traffic the entire day moving around the North Eastern United States along with 1000's of other gas guzzling behemoths.

Asian Shares End Mixed -- China hikes fuel prices 18%, hoping to trim demand in the world's second largest consumer of oil. -- Reuters